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Trump’s hamstrung diplomacy

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March 17, 2018

What is the issue?

  • The suspicion of Russian interference in the U.S. elections to favour Trump has rendered any diplomacy between the two countries impossible.
  • This is clearly weakening the diplomatic potential of the Trump administration and is making international arena challenging for all.

What are the recent developments?

  • U.S. secretary of state Mr. Rex Tillerson recently got fired by President Trump, which is suspected to be because of his strong anti-Russia position.
  • This is in the backdrop of Mr. Tillerson censoring the Russian government for fostering an alleged attack on a former Russia defector, who is living in U.K. 
  • Interestingly, the mainstream media till recently had been accusing Mr. Tillerson of being soft on Russia and even suspected that he owed his very appointment to Russia.   
  • But the moment he got shunted out of office for seemingly taking a strong stand against Russia, he got hailed as hero who paid the price for boldness.
  • This episode has clearly exemplified that media frenzy has largely hijacked substantive aspects of the suspected electoral meddling.

 How are investigations into Russian electoral meddling progressing?

  • Presently, there seems to be a bipartisan consensus on stern action against Russia and the Trump administration seems willing to oblige.
  • Special Counsel Robert Mueller is already investigating allegations against Russia and he has till now filed documents indicting 13 people in court. 
  • Charged against them are “information warfare” against the U.S. and “spreading distrust towards the candidates and the political system.
  • Allegations - It is alleged that Russia has spent thousands of dollars every month, since 2014 in order to distort the 2016 elections.
  • Russian-linked entities placed ads and ran propaganda campaigns on social media and it is estimated that as much as 11.1 trillion posts were made.
  • Facebook vouched that 126 million people may have seen a post generated by Russian operatives or bots on its site, and 56% of them were after the election.
  • It is alleged that some Russians misrepresented their purpose and travelled to the U.S. to collect intelligence on the country’s political process.  
  • Russian campaign seems have supported Bernie Sanders during the Democratic primary and Mr. Trump during the presidential election.

Is Trump administration going soft on Russia?

  • Recently, U.S. released the National Security Strategy (NSS) and the Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), both which declared Russia as a main adversary.
  • The documents placed Russia slightly above China in the order of U.S. enemies, and left little room open for reconciliation.
  • With U.S. also stressing on modernising its nuclear arsenal and upgrading its weapons delivery systems, a new cold war already seems to be brewing.
  • This is expected to cost significantly on the tax payers and stocks of American defence companies have also been doing exceptionally good currently.
  • Even after sacking Mr. Tillerson, the White House announced a new round of sanctions against Russia.
  • Hence, Trump administration is already following a strong and muscular policy towards Russia and the calls for more anti-Russia rhetoric is illogical.

What are the problems with sensationalising the meddling issue?

  • There is no practical way for journalists or citizens to independently verify whether the Trump campaign allegedly colluded with Russia.
  • Even if all the allegations are true, the current obsession of the American elite with Russia is still counterproductive and potentially dangerous.
  • Decrying Democracy - The episode seems to disputes voter intellect, and delegitimizes an established democratic process without concrete proof.
  • It also denies an obvious public outrage against the country’s socio - economic prospectus that saw the rise of Mr. Trump and Mr. Sanders.
  • Notably, U.S.A is the only advanced country where life expectancy is falling, gun violence is rampant and drug abuse is strikingly very rampant.
  • Diplomatic cramp - The commentaries have also created the perception that any contact between a Trump official and a Russian is treason.
  • This has severely undermined a democratically elected President’s authority to pursue diplomacy, which has weakened the county’s international standing.
  • Hence, Russia-gate scandal has not merely bent perspective, but blinded vision in America, which might have even been deliberately done.

 

Source: The Hindu

 

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