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U.S plans to roll back QE

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September 28, 2017

Why in news?

Recently, the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its plan to gradually roll back quantitative easing (QE).

What is quantitative easing?

  • Quantitative easing is an unconventional monetary policy to increase the money supply.
  • Central banks target the supply of money by buying or selling government bonds.
  • When the economy stalls and the central bank wants to encourage economic growth, it buys government bonds.
  • This lowers short-term interest rates and increases the money supply.
  • Central banks like the European Central Bank,U.S. Federal Reserve have adopted this policy to boost their respective economies.

What is the significance of QE policy of US?

  • It is a nine year long program implemented as aftermath of the 2007-2008 financial crisis.
  • QE has been carried out in the hope that increased money supply would help stimulate the economy.
  • Under the programme, the central bank has been buying bonds and other debt instruments like mortgage-backed securities from the open market.
  • US also printed fresh dollars to buy these securities, it helped the nation to pump more dollars into their economy.

What are the reasons for roll back?

  • The Fed’s balance sheet currently stands at $4.5 trillion, now US has grown more confident about its economy recovery.
  • As the result of QE policy the quarter ending June grew at its fastest pace since 2015 and Inflation has shown some signs of strength.
  • U.S is clear in rolling back its QE, as modern central banks are in the business of keeping inflation and growth at manageable levels.

How will it impact the world economy?

  • Lower demand from the Federal Reserve should cause interest rates on U.S. bonds to rise from their current, historically low levels.
  • This is likely to make these bonds more attractive to investors, as they can now be purchased at lower prices in order to earn higher yields.
  • Investors are likely to sell their other investments offering lower returns to invest in U.S. bonds, which could cause some turbulence in global financial markets.

How this will impact India?

  • The Indian stock market has witnessed a steady outflow of foreign capital as foreign institutional investors have sold out their holdings to invest elsewhere.
  • The rupee has also shown weakness as investors pull money out of India.
  • This trend is likely to continue until the risk-adjusted returns on various investments equalise.

 

Source: The Hindu

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