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World Bank Report on Remittances – II

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December 18, 2018

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What is the current status?

  • The World Bank has recently declared India to be the largest recipient of remittances from abroad.
  • According to the Bank, remittances to India are likely to touch $80 billion this year, way ahead of the second largest recipient China ($67 billion).
  • According to the official Indian balance of payments data, remittances through private transfers that includes –
  1. Remittances for family maintenance
  2. Local withdrawals from Non-Resident Rupee Accounts (NRE and NRO)
  3. Gold and silver brought through passenger baggage
  4. Personal gifts/donations to charitable/religious institutions
  • It includes workers’ remittances, which consist only of transfers made by migrants employed and resident abroad to relatives in India.
  • Workers’ remittances form the dominant component of private transfers.
  • The share of workers’ remittances in total transfers touched a high of 69% in the first six months of financial year 2018-19.
  • This shows that the remittance levels have remained high, despite the lower oil prices in the gulf and the trend has remained positive.

Who is the biggest contributor?

  • India became a successful exporter of software and business services, which often require onsite provision at locations abroad.
  • Hence it is expected that there would be a shift in remittance flows away from the Gulf region to North America (especially the US).
  • It was expected that there would be higher contributions from workers employed on temporary visas (such as H1-B).
  • These workers typically extending for more than a year at much higher salaries earn more than the preponderantly semi-skilled workers migrating to the Gulf region.
  • However, contrary to expectations, remittances have substantially come from the Gulf region.
  • According to the RBI, as much as 53.5% of remittances came from the Gulf countries in 2016-17, with the US and Canada together contributing about 24%. 
  • This also shows that the share of North America in remittances (from IT and business services workforce abroad) peaked in the mid-2000s, and there has been a deceleration since then.

How do the skilled migrations benefit India?

  • The contribution of workers’ remittances to foreign exchange inflow has been between 47% and 57% of inflows, especially with respect to India’s flagship export sectors (IT and Telecom).
  • This shows that more remittances are being received by the workers who got benefitted export of telecommunication, computer and information services from India.
  • This is mainly because of immense policy support that the IT and IT-enabled services sector has received from the government.
  • The support was provided in the form of investment in infrastructure, tax holidays and beneficial import policies.
  • Policies of foreign governments on temporary employment of foreign workers also have boosted migrations from India. (out-migration)
  • Moreover, the IT and related services boom was possibly helped by the technical and English language skills of a section of Indian workers thus raising the prospect of employment opportunities.
  • This has made families to stay behind and workers just need to remit foreign exchange for family maintenance and similar expenditures.

Has it helped managing India’s current account deficit?

  • According to the RBI surveys, the share of remittances meant to finance family maintenance varied between 49 - 61% of total remittances.
  • Another 20% was into deposits, possibly to be withdrawn later to finance bulk expenditure requirements.
  • Remittances also cover between 47-80% of the deficit in trade in Goods and Services between 2013-14 and 2017-18.
  • Thus the benefit provided by migrant workers in the form of remittances help manage India’s balance of payments to a considerable extent.

 

Source: Business Line

 

 

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