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Ending the ‘Great Game’ in Afghanistan

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April 27, 2018

What is the issue?

  • A recent IS attack in Kabul and Taliban's new announcement have signalled an increased security challenge for Afghanistan.
  • At this juncture, global and regional powers must desist from playing the ‘Great Game’ and build peace.

What is the recent IS attack?

  • A bomb attack took place in Kabul at a voter registration centre, killing more than 50.
  • It carries a doubly dangerous message from the Islamic State.
  • One, it was the group's attack on Afghanistan’s fragile democratic process.
  • It implies that elections next year could face more violence.
  • Two, a majority of the victims were Shias.
  • This highlights the sectarian turn in the conflict.

What is the Taliban threat?

  • Taliban has rejected Afghan President Ghani’s offer of talks “without preconditions”.
  • Moreover, Taliban has announced its new “spring offensive”.
  • It includes the targeting of American forces in Afghanistan.

Have the earlier efforts paid results?

  • Last year, the U.S. announced a new ‘South Asia policy’ for Afghanistan. Click here to know more.
  • It was officially welcomed by both New Delhi and Kabul.
  • It was hailed as a game-changer for the region.
  • But now the policy itself seems uncertain.
  • The U.S. administration has taken some steps on Pakistani funding of terrorism.
  • This is particularly across the Durand Line (border between Pakistan and Afghanistan).
  • However, it has clearly not yielded calm on the ground.
  • Continuous wave of terrorist violence has lashed Kabul and other cities.
  • The Afghan forces control just a little over half the territory today.
  • It is down from nearly three-fourths in 2015.
  • The U.S. policies guiding Afghanistan are not making much headway.
  • This is the same with Kabul’s efforts to protect its own people.

What is the concern with the approach?

  • Growing U.S.-Russia tensions are creating space for proxies for both on Afghan soil.
  • The attacks by al-Qaeda and IS-related terror groups have their roots in the larger war between Iran and the Arab world.
  • Tensions between India and Pakistan cast a shadow over Afghanistan.
  • China, to secure itself from Islamist groups, is trying to build a rival military base in Afghanistan.
  • Clearly, countries are motivated not only by peace in Afghanistan but by other interests too.
  • Efforts have been made for bilateral and multilateral peace talks in recent months.
  • But each one has amounted to too piecemeal an effort.

What could possibly be done?

  • There is a need to stop the ‘Great Game’ by countries for influence in Afghanistan.
  • It is necessary for both US and Afghanistan to take a more hard-headed, realistic view.
  • It must be acknowledged that the current situation is a danger to all.
  • Defeating terrorism in Afghanistan needs every stakeholder to put aside the differences and build peace.

 

Source: The Hindu

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